Escalation of Violence Threatens to Make 2025 Deadliest Year in a Decade for Pakistan

Pakistan is on course to surpass last year’s security casualty toll, with the violence recorded in the first three quarters of 2025 nearly equaling the entire tally of 2024, according to a security report released by the Center for Research and Security Studies (CRSS).

The CRSS report reveals that Pakistan recorded 2,414 fatalities in the nine months leading up to September 2025. This figure stands dangerously close to the total of 2,546 fatalities recorded across the whole of 2024. This trend indicates a potential intensification of militant activity and an expanded scale of government counter-terrorism operations, positioning 2025 as possibly one of the deadliest years in a decade.

A year-on-year analysis underscores the severity of the surge: the 2,414 fatalities in the January-September 2025 period mark a 58% rise compared to the 1,527 deaths recorded in the same period of 2024.

The third quarter alone (Q3, 2025) saw a sharp rise in conflict, with at least 901 fatalities and 599 injuries resulting from 329 incidents of violence, including both terror attacks and counter-terror operations. This represents an over 46% surge in overall violence compared to the previous quarter.

The primary regions affected remain Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP) and Balochistan, which accounted for over 96% of the country's violence in the third quarter. KP was the worst hit region, suffering nearly 71% (638) of the total violence linked fatalities.

A significant shift in the nature of violence was also highlighted by the CRSS: fatalities stemming from security operations now account for a majority of the deaths. In 2025, security operations were responsible for 1,265 deaths-over half of the total fatalities-a stark contrast to 2024, where terror attacks claimed the higher number of lives. This shift suggests an intensified, high lethality approach by state forces against militants.

The CRSS further noted that while outlaws suffered the majority of fatalities (57%) in Q3, civilians were the most frequently targeted group in terms of the number of terror attacks and injuries suffered.

The report highlights a grim reality for Pakistan, which endured a twin crisis in Q3, 2025: the 901 lives lost to militant violence nearly matched the 1,006 lives claimed by severe environmental disasters, including flash floods and glacier melts, demonstrating that the country's human security is imperiled by both man-made conflict and nature's fury.

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